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NOBEL PRIZE 2026

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NSFEXP PROG TO STIM COMP RES

Collaborative Research: : Advancing the Scale of Ceramic Compositional Analysis

Active
Institution
University of Missouri-Columbia, MO
Principal investigator
Jeffrey R Ferguson
Funding
$119K
Duration
2025–2027
Open portfolio

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Abstract

Research into ceramic production and exchange in past societies has led to wide-ranging understanding of social, economic, and political organization in these ancient systems as well as implications for contemporary societies. Much of this work has utilized chemical analysis of ceramics using neutron activation analysis (NAA) and the American Southwest has been one area of intensive research. Existing NAA data represent significant research investment, but the combined power of this investment remains unrealized largely due to two impediments: 1) existing databases require synthesis and standardization; and 2) analytical methods that can systematically compare compositional data at these macroregional scales needs more development. This project produces a standardized, expanded, and broadly accessible database of more than 30,000 ceramic compositional analyses that will allow new big-data approaches (AI and machine learning) to large-scale interactions. The resulting databases are updated and readily available for a broad range of future research. Recent developments in artificial intelligence and machine learning allow exploration of large-scale multivariate data at scales that facilitate the exploration of regional-scale interaction. This project develops new methods for analyzing NAA data using social network analysis (SNA) tools that allow one to evaluate models and expectations derived from social network theory using findings of past networks based on typological similarities. Shifting Southwestern NAA studies from narrowly focused individual projects to regionally informed large-scale investigations allows researchers to more effectively sample sites or regions for NAA, making small samples considerably more valuable while not duplicating existing data. The methods developed in this project are directly applicable to other regions with comparable NAA databases. This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

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EXP PROG TO STIM COMP RESArtificial Intelligence (AI)Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic SciencesARCHAEOLOGYArchaeologydatabasescompositionalceramicinvestmentexplorationsocial networklarge-scalesocieties

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